Insights

Trends, news, analysis and insight brought to you by our network of global experts.

Investment Insights • Macro Flash Note 01 November 2024

UK Autumn budget delivers tax increases to fund higher spending

On 30 October, Chancellor Rachel Reeves became the first woman to deliver a budget in the UK, outlining increases to taxes and additional borrowing to fund higher spending and investment. In this Macro Flash Note, Economists Sam Jochim and Joaquin Thul summarise the main points.

Sam Jochim

2 min read

Investment Insights • Macro Flash Note 29 October 2024

IMF: Policy pivot, rising threats

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently released its October World Economic Outlook (WEO)*. Its projections for global real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in 2024 and 2025 are little changed relative to its July WEO update, although risks to the outlook are now tilted to the downside. In this Macro Flash Note, Economist Sam Jochim summarises.

Sam Jochim

2 min read

Investment Insights • Infocus 28 October 2024

The oil market’s unstable equilibrium

Oil price volatility has surged recently, reflecting various uncertainties. In this edition of Infocus, Senior Economist GianLuigi Mandruzzato looks at the factors that drive the oil price and concludes that downside risks prevail.

GianLuigi Mandruzzato

1 min read

News and interviews 18 October 2024

AI: Closing the human knowledge gap

Interview with Martin Moeller Martin Moeller is Director of Artificial Intelligence & Generative AI for Financial Services across EMEA at Microsoft. In the following interview, he explains why the deployment of AI should be favoured, not feared, by employees and highlights its value in delivering an enhanced client experience. He also discusses the need for responsible and ethical approaches to developing this transformative technology.

Marketing & Communications

4 min read

Investment Insights • Macro Flash Note 18 October 2024

The ECB accelerates the pace of monetary policy easing

As expected, on 17 October the ECB cut the deposit facility rate by 0.25% to 3.25%, the first back-to-back rate cut since 2011. In this Macro Flash Note, Senior Economist GianLuigi Mandruzzato looks at the reasons behind this decision and what it means for the future path of interest rates.

GianLuigi Mandruzzato

2 min read

Investment Insights • Infocus 16 October 2024

Sector playbook ahead of the US Presidential election

Election years usually come with increased equity market volatility, particularly in the last quarter of the year. Investors are understandably eager to position themselves for different scenarios ahead of the election and the expected increase in uncertainty. In this InFocus, Economist Joaquin Thul reviews the sectors that could benefit in the event of a Trump or Harris win.

Joaquin Thul

1 min read

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Insights

UK Autumn budget delivers tax increases to fund higher spending

IMF: Policy pivot, rising threats

The oil market’s unstable equilibrium

AI: Closing the human knowledge gap

The ECB accelerates the pace of monetary policy easing

Sector playbook ahead of the US Presidential election

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